Scotland are on the verge of making World Cup history even if they suffer a defeat to Brazil, but Steve Clarke's side will need a specific set of results to fall in their favour to secure a place in the round of 32.
How Scotland Can Qualify Despite a Loss
If Scotland lose to Brazil, they can still advance as one of the best third-placed teams. To do so, they require four other groups to produce third-placed teams with fewer than three points or a worse goal difference. Here are the five key results needed:
1. Mexico Beat Czech Republic
In Group A, a Mexico victory over Czech Republic would leave the third-placed team on just one point, assuming South Korea also beat South Africa.
2. South Korea Beat South Africa
Combined with the Mexico result, a South Korea win ensures Group A's third-placed team finishes on one point, well below Scotland's potential three.
3. Bosnia and Herzegovina Draw with Qatar
In Group B, a draw between Bosnia and Herzegovina and Qatar would mean the third-placed team ends on two points, again below Scotland's tally.
4. Egypt Beat Iran
An Egypt victory over Iran in Group G would leave the third-placed team on a maximum of two points, further boosting Scotland's chances.
5. Spain Beat Uruguay
Uruguay have yet to win in Group H, so a defeat to Spain would leave them on two points, eliminating that group from contention for a best third-place spot.
Current Standings and Scenarios
With some groups still having two matchdays remaining, the exact points needed are not fully clear. However, Scotland simply need four groups to produce third-placed teams with fewer than three points, or if tied on three points, a worse goal difference than Scotland's. According to football analysts, this scenario is plausible but requires precise outcomes.
Steve Clarke's squad will be watching the results closely, as their World Cup fate hinges on these five matches going their way. If all results align, Scotland would make history by reaching the knockout stage for the first time, even after a loss to Brazil.
