Former US President Donald Trump has declared that a peace agreement to end the war in Ukraine is now "closer than we have been ever". His statement follows a series of high-level discussions with Russian President Vladimir Putin, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, European leaders, and US officials.
Zelensky's Stance on Territory and Security Guarantees
Despite the reported progress, a significant obstacle remains. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has firmly stated that Ukraine will not cede any territory in the eastern regions of Donetsk and Luhansk. This position stands in direct contrast to the US administration's reported push for a compromise solution. In a parallel development, European leaders have indicated that the United States supports the creation of a "multinational force" led by European nations to be stationed inside Ukraine. This force is envisioned as part of "robust security guarantees" for Kyiv's future defence.
War Damages and Ongoing Regional Tensions
In a move to address the colossal cost of the conflict, Ukraine and its European allies are preparing to establish an International Claims Commission. This body will be tasked with processing compensation for war damages inflicted on Ukraine, with over 80,000 claims already officially registered. Meanwhile, regional military activity continues unabated. In a landmark event, Ukraine struck a Russian submarine using an unprecedented underwater drone attack. Furthermore, Turkey reported shooting down an uncontrolled drone over the Black Sea, and Russia's air defence systems destroyed a drone near Moscow, underscoring the persistent and volatile nature of the conflict.
Pathway to Peace or Prolonged Stalemate?
While diplomatic channels appear more active, the fundamental issue of territorial sovereignty presents a formidable barrier to any final settlement. The combination of advanced military actions, like the underwater drone strike, with complex diplomatic manoeuvres illustrates the multifaceted nature of this war. The proposed European security force and the claims commission represent long-term institutional responses, but the immediate challenge of bridging the gap between Kyiv's conditions and Moscow's demands remains. The world watches to see if this reported closeness can translate into a durable and just peace.
