The Met Office has delivered its much-anticipated verdict on the likelihood of a white Christmas across the United Kingdom this year, with the official forecast for the festive period now released.
What Counts as a White Christmas?
According to the Met Office's precise definition, a white Christmas is officially declared only if a single snowflake is observed falling within the 24-hour period of December 25. This observation must be made either by an official Met Office observer or by one of its automated weather stations.
Despite annual speculation and hopes for a picturesque, snow-covered holiday, the national forecaster has indicated that the chance of meeting this specific criterion in 2025 is "relatively low."
Detailed Forecast for Christmas Day
The forecast for December 25 predicts a cold day with temperatures potentially dropping to around 2°C. A notable strong easterly breeze is expected, which will make conditions feel even chillier for anyone venturing outdoors.
Chief Meteorologist Paul Gundersen addressed the public's most common seasonal question: "The question we get most at this time of year is about the chance of snow on Christmas Day." He elaborated, stating, "There’s a small chance of light showers, which, if they occur, will be a mix of rain, sleet, and some snow over higher ground."
He was quick to temper expectations, adding, "The chance is relatively low as it stands, and there are no strong signals for significant or widespread snowfall."
Overall, Christmas Day is anticipated to be mostly dry with a mix of cloud and sunny spells across different regions. A few light showers are possible, particularly along southwestern coasts later in the day, but these are unlikely to turn wintry at lower levels.
Festive Travel Advice and Broader Outlook
The Met Office is advising the public to stay informed as holiday travel plans get underway. "As always, we advise everyone to keep up to date with the latest Met Office forecasts and warnings, especially if you’re making plans over the festive period," Gundersen advised.
Looking at the run-up to the big day, Christmas Eve (Wednesday, December 24) will see temperatures fall as high pressure builds, bringing drier and more settled conditions accompanied by those chilly easterly winds.
This pattern of high pressure is forecast to linger close to the UK in the days leading into the New Year, promising largely settled weather. However, this also brings an increased likelihood of frost and fog forming in some areas, which could impact early morning travel.