A recent YouGov poll has revealed that Labour Party members would rather have Andy Burnham as leader than Keir Starmer, with Burnham leading by a ratio of 3 to 2 in a head-to-head choice. The survey also indicates that members believe the party is likely to win the next general election under Burnham's leadership, but not under Starmer's.
Key Findings from the Poll
When asked to rank eight potential candidates, Labour members placed Burnham ahead of Starmer. Furthermore, only 28% of members think Starmer should lead the party into the next election, despite 66% rating his performance as Prime Minister as either fairly good (50%) or very good (16%). Angela Rayner, the former Deputy PM, enjoys the highest favourability ratings among potential candidates, though she is not seen as the preferred leader.
Implications for the Leadership
The poll suggests that while Starmer has managed the country effectively in the eyes of members, they lack confidence in his ability to secure an electoral victory. Andy Burnham's potential candidacy, bolstered by his search for a parliamentary seat, could postpone but not eliminate a leadership challenge. The findings underscore a disconnect between approval of Starmer's job performance and faith in his electability.
Other notable figures in the poll include Angela Rayner, who leads on combined favourable ratings, but Burnham tops the 'very favourable' category alone. The data reflects that members can appreciate a politician without deeming them suitable for the top job.
Today's political agenda includes Keir Starmer chairing cabinet, David Lammy taking questions in the Commons, and Yvette Cooper speaking on global food security. The transport secretary is expected to update MPs on HS2, while MPs debate energy policy in the King's Speech. In devolved matters, Rhun ap Iorwerth addresses the Senedd, and MSPs are due to elect John Swinney as First Minister.
